US House race in Washington likely to feature 2 Democrats in November

13 August, 2018, 18:39 | Author: Wade Massey
  • 34th District Clockwise from top left Shannon Braddock Joe Nguyen Lois Schipper and Sofia Aragon leading candidates for the state Senate seat in the 34th Legislative district

At first glance, the topline numbers look bad for President Trump and his party: The president's approval is an underwhelming 43 percent in the RealClearPolitics average of polls, and the GOP is trailing on the generic ballot by about 5 percent. One reason for those lousy numbers is the surge in GOP retirements: 26-the highest number of GOP departures since 2006. This year, we are fighting against historic trends, so we have to connect with our voters.

So where is the good news? "Republicans need to defeat Democratic incumbents to hold the Senate, which isn't easy in this kind of year". "The question is how many". But Nunes obviously fears that if the Senate doesn't confirm Kavanaugh soon, they might not have a chance because Democrats could be controlling the Senate in 2019. The Democratic party could also pick up two more seats in the 18th and 19th districts; Republican incumbent Jim Walsh, a freshman who won a blue seat in 2016, is trailing Democratic challenger Erin Frasier.

"If they do this they might-just might-hold the House", Rove believes. And he's not alone. But it was swell enough to make them the favourites to win the House of Representatives in the midterms.

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Instead, as Republicans enter the final month of the primary season, they're looking ahead to a general-election strategy of embracing anxiety as a tool to motivate voters. "That's what we're focusing on, what our candidates focusing on". Once there's a candidate, there will be a target-and that will likely tighten up the polls.

Still, Rivers says, "it's not going to be a good Republican year". Having a Supreme Court debate on the eve of the election made them even longer.

"Other than that, she doesn't bring anything positive to the Democratic ticket", he said.

But with the midterm races being seen as a referendum on the President, opposition momentum in Trump country is becoming undeniable.

Another Senate race Republicans are concerned about-perhaps more than any other-is the one in Nevada, where recent polls have showed incumbent Republican Dean Heller and Democrat Jacky Rosen in a dead heat. That's a lot more breathing room for Mitch McConnell.

Stevens' objection is that Republicans had to spend so much in time and resources to lift state Sen.

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No major media outlet has yet called the OH race for either candidate.

I want wall-to-wall coverage of Trump's every speech, rally, tweet and utterance, because they most reveal his character, and Trump's character is the ceiling on Trump's presidency. Sure, talk-radio conservatives understand that the margins of victory in these races were far too close for comfort-Democratic candidates have outperformed their party's average performance by about 5 points in the competitive special elections since Trump's election-but their mantra is "Trump finds a way to win".

Heimlich called Tuesday night a test-run.

Another data point that's been largely overlooked is the GOP's gerrymandering advantage.

Despite a roaring economy that favours the governing Republicans, it is heapingly clear, as polls demonstrate, that the Democrats have momentum on their side.

"Obviously, this is a tough environment for Republicans", said Corry Bliss, executive director of the Congressional Leadership Fund, a super PAC devoted to defending House Republicans' 23-seat majority.

In Washington's 3rd District, which was supposed to be a "Likely" if not "Solid" Republican district, Democratic candidates are now winning more total votes than Republican candidates, 50.3 percent to 49.7 percent. And Republican-leaning independents like her even less.

Die-hard Republicans say the pre-season is over, and they went 8-9.

Collins was the first member of Congress to endorse President Trump and had been considered a shoo-in for reelection in his heavily Republican district outside Buffalo.


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