What does Hurricane Michael mean for South Florida's weather?

10 October, 2018, 06:40 | Author: Darnell Taylor
  • Panovich: Hurricane Michael will bring heavy rain to the Carolinas

Hurricane Michael was expected to strengthen on Tuesday in the Gulf of Mexico, taking aim at the Florida panhandle, where residents were implored to get out of harm's way ahead of life-threatening waves, winds and rains. She foresees "wind with a few showers", starting perhaps late Wednesday night.

However, the cold front should pick up Michael as it moves north, and kick the center of it out to sea.

Michael's core, with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph, was about 335 miles south of Panama City, Florida, as of 2 p.m. ET Tuesday, the National Hurricane Center said.

Alexander Charnicharo fishes at the seafront in Havana as Hurricane Michael passes by western Cuba on October 8, 2018.

Hurricane Michael will make landfall along the Florida Panhandle on Wednesday, most likely as a major storm.

Wind shear will remain the only deterrent to the strength of Michael prior to landfal. The county has already closed its schools through Thursday.

"Storm surge is the number one problem that you can see from these storms. you have rain, you have wind - but storm surge, that's a lot of water that can come on shore", said David Peaton, the Deputy Director of Emergency Management in Levy County in an interview with WUFT.

"It's been dry for the last couple of weeks, so there's plenty of places for that to run off to", he said. "Residents and businesses in coastal Alabama must be vigilant and closely monitor the storm's path and be prepared for a major hurricane".

"There's always a chance the track could shift", said Lord. "Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other unsafe conditions", the hurricane center said. A shift eastward would not.

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"It's definitely coming through an area that doesn't need more rain", Kimball said. He said Tuesday that he doesn't expect he'll get resupplied soon, because stations nearer to interstate highways will get priority.

The storm's exact location by that time isn't yet known.

RMS looked at where hurricane Michael is due to make landfall and found that the most similar storms were Category 2 Kate in 1985, which is estimated to have caused around a $1 billion insurance and reinsurance market loss, or Category 3 Eloise in 1975 which is estimated to have resulted in a $3.6 billion insurance and reinsurance industry loss.

A high risk of rip currents at Atlantic Coast beaches. A storm surge watch is in effect for the Anclote River to Anna Maria Island, including Tampa Bay, and for the Alabama-Florida border to the Okaloosa-Walton County line.

"I know people are tired from Florence", Cooper said at a press briefing Tuesday morning.

Michael was forecast to push through warm, relatively shallow Gulf of Mexico waters before moving inland over the northern Gulf coast of Florida. The most severe storm surge is predicted to occur from Mexico Beach to Keaton Beach, Florida, which could see as much 13 feet.

Florida Governor Rick Scott has declared a state of emergency for 35 counties and activated hundreds of National Guard troops to prepare for Hurricane Michael's onslaught. Volusia and Flagler counties were not included in that declaration.

The storm is expected to unleash coastal storm surges of up to 12 feet (3.7 meters) along Florida's Panhandle and dump as much as a foot (30 cm) of rain across Florida, Georgia and SC, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported.

Although the forecast could change, there is no indication that the storm will deteriorate before making landfall.

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