NOAA Predicts Mild Michigan Winter Ahead

20 October, 2018, 04:51 | Author: Darnell Taylor
  • NOAA Predicts Mild Michigan Winter Ahead

In the winter, the NOAA said, typical El Nino conditions include wetter-than-average precipitation in the southern USA and drier conditions in parts of the northern U.S. This change in sea surface temperature has a wide range of effects on seasonal weather patterns across the globe, but in the USA, an El Niño typically means warmer winter temperatures, and higher levels of precipitation in certain regions of the country. "Although a weak El Nino is expected, it may still influence the winter season by bringing wetter conditions across the southern United States, and warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North". During the winter, typical El Nino conditions in the USA can include wetter-than-average precipitation in the South and drier conditions in parts of the North.

Winter weather expert Judah Cohen, of the private company Atmospheric and Environmental Research, uses different indicators to predict winter for the National Science Foundation.

It also said that wetter-than-average conditions are likely across the southern part of the US, and up into the Mid-Atlantic.

According to the center's 2018-2019 winter outlook report released Thursday, each New England state is likely to be warmer than average in December, January and February.

On its temperature forecast map, the Carolinas and much of the southeast and Mid-Atlantic are all colored white, while the rest of the country is cast in reds and oranges, since those areas are expected to be warmer.

No place in the U.S.is expected to experience cooler-than-average temperatures, according to NOAA.

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Precipitation is expected to be above normal across the southern tier of the United States, extending up into the Mid-Atlantic.

Drought conditions are forecast to stay put this winter in the Southwest, Southern California, central Great Basin, central Rockies, Northern Plains and portions of the interior Pacific Northwest. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation during the winter, the NOAA said.

But drought conditions are anticipated to improve in areas in Arizona and New Mexico, southern sections of Utah and Colorado, as well as the coastal Pacific Northwest and Central Plains, the agency said.

Hawaii, Montana, Michigan, parts of Idaho, Wisconsin, northern Illinois, Indiana and OH are forecast to be drier than normal, with the biggest likelihood in Hawaii, Montana and Michigan.

For those looking for snowfall projections, you won't find those in NOAA's winter outlook.

"Even on a warming planet", he said, "it doesn't mean winter goes away and it's never cold again". The next update will be available on November 15. Snow forecasts are generally not easily predicated more than a week in advance.

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