Tropical wave heading toward Caribbean, 50% chance of development
13 November, 2018, 07:54 | Author: Darnell Taylor
This disturbance has been battling strong upper-level winds for the past couple days, but it'll be moving northwestward into a better environment this week and the National Hurricane Center has a 70% of development over the next five days.
A vigorous tropical wave located about 200 miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing a large area of disturbed weather over much of the western tropical Atlantic Ocean. The system has ramped up in intensity and is now given a 90 percent chance of becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone by Thursday.
If this were to become a named storm, it would be called Patty.
"Should this system track far enough to the north of the Caribbean Islands, this will allow for some organization", according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Brett Rathbun. This squally weather is expected to spread across the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by Tuesday and then across Hispaniola on Tuesday night and Wednesday.
The Carolinas are still recovering and tallying the damage from hurricanes Florence and Michael, which between the two brought flooding from the coast to the mountains.
People may be hanging Christmas lights already, but the National Hurricane Center has a vivid reminder that we still need to keep an eye on what's brewing in the tropics. Only 89 (5.4 %) of the tropical storms and 59 (5.9%) of the hurricanes developed in November.
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